Caracas FC 1-1 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 30 Apr 2026

Caracas FC
1-1 HT 0-1
Racing Club
📅30/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Caracas FC vs Racing Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caracas FC v Racing Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 62%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.97/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.76
+7% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +63%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
8.0 Crosses 12.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Caracas FC 1-1 Racing Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-1
AWAY Racing Club
0.64 xG 2.73
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
138 Passes 396
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC and Racing Club couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Caracas FC had 32% of the ball to Racing Club's 68%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.64 to 2.73.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Racing Club?

Caracas FC 1-1 Racing Club in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 22%, draw 29%, Racing Club 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Club), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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