Palestino 0-0 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.64/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.85
+30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -42%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.1 Crosses 10.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
0-0
AWAY Gremio
0.38 xG 1.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
200 Passes 325
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Gremio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino and Gremio fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gremio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palestino had 42% of the ball to Gremio's 58%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.38 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Gremio?

Palestino 0-0 Gremio in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Palestino 28%, draw 27%, Gremio 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gremio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gremio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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