Cienciano 1-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 32%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.56/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.60
-46% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
28.7 Crosses 11.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.62 xG 0.76
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
204 Passes 357
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.05.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Cienciano Cienciano CSA
02.04.2025 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
1-0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.45 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
273 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano edged past Atletico Mineiro 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Cienciano had 52% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 48%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.45 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cienciano and 0.50 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Atletico Mineiro?

Cienciano 1-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 44%, draw 27%, Atletico Mineiro 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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