Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.31
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
29.0
X/1
25%
3.76
X/2
7%
31.0
X/X
11%
9.77
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
5%
29.5
2/X
5%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-17.9pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.9pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+52% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cienciano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.95 xG 0.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
354 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2025 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1-1
AWAY Cienciano
0.57 xG 0.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
360 Passes 181
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Cienciano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico Mineiro at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 64% of the ball to Cienciano's 36%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.57 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Cienciano?

Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cienciano in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 62%, draw 21%, Cienciano 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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