Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Sportivo Luqueno — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Gremio 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio squeezed past Sportivo Luqueno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Gremio had 71% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 29%, shots finished 29-3, expected goals 4.72 to 0.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gremio's control.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Gremio 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gremio 57%, draw 25%, Sportivo Luqueno 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.