Fluminense 2-0 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.78
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
18.1
X/1
15%
3.81
X/2
8%
13.75
X/X
10%
5.91
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
7%
12.2
2/X
7%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 17%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.87 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
430 Passes 346
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
2-0
AWAY Once Caldas
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
427 Passes 377
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense saw off Once Caldas 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Fluminense had 53% of the ball to Once Caldas's 47%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Once Caldas?

Fluminense 2-0 Once Caldas in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 52%, draw 27%, Once Caldas 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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