Once Caldas 0-1 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.39
6+ Goals
10%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
14%
6.23
X/2
12%
4.72
X/X
14%
3.7
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.44
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 45%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
0-1
AWAY Fluminense
0.86 xG 0.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
346 Passes 430
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense edged past Once Caldas 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Fluminense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Once Caldas had 47% of the ball to Fluminense's 53%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 0.86 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Fluminense?

Once Caldas 0-1 Fluminense in the Copa Sudamericana on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 36%, draw 28%, Fluminense 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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