Union Santa Fe 1-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 2 Apr 2025

Union Santa Fe
1-0 HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Copa Sudamericana – 2025

Union Santa Fe vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.33
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.67
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
15%
5.0
X/2
10%
6.05
X/X
14%
3.62
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.91
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
– Crosses 11.7
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.34 xG 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
259 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Cruzeiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 45% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 55%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Cruzeiro?

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Cruzeiro in the Copa Sudamericana on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 41%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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