Deportes Iquique 1-2 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.99
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.65
X/1
18%
4.07
X/2
7%
11.2
X/X
8%
5.65
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
10%
9.24
2/X
8%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.51
-42% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
1-2
AWAY Caracas FC
1.22 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
373 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC edged past Deportes Iquique 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Iquique at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 56% of the ball to Caracas FC's 44%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.22 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Caracas FC?

Deportes Iquique 1-2 Caracas FC in the Copa Sudamericana on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 50%, draw 25%, Caracas FC 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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