Boston River 3-3 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.96
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.13
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.5
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
19%
5.59
X/2
15%
5.37
X/X
18%
3.34
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
7%
4.22
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.75
Value flag · 2/X at 14.75 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
3-3
AWAY Club Guarani
2.80 xG 0.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
301 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River and Club Guarani shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 36% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston River had 49% of the ball to Club Guarani's 51%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.80 to 0.37.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Club Guarani?

Boston River 3-3 Club Guarani in the Copa Sudamericana on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boston River 34%, draw 36%, Club Guarani 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CSA More Copa Sudamericana
2 Apr 2025
01:00 Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Analysis →
01:00 Union Santa Fe vs Cruzeiro Analysis →
01:00 Deportes Iquique vs Caracas FC Analysis →
03:30 Once Caldas vs Fluminense Analysis →
03:30 Cienciano vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →