Caracas FC 2-1 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 30 May 2025

Caracas FC
2-1 HT 2-0
Deportes Iquique
📅30/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2025

Caracas FC vs Deportes Iquique Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.21
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.65
X/1
11%
4.22
X/2
9%
9.68
X/X
15%
5.2
2/1
10%
23.3
2/2
7%
7.82
2/X
8%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caracas FC v Deportes Iquique — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 23%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.00/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-42% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caracas FC vs Deportes Iquique Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
287 Passes 373
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.04.2025 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-2 HT 1-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC CSA

Caracas FC 2-1 Deportes Iquique — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
2-1
AWAY Deportes Iquique
0.44 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
373 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
6 Box Touches 13
6 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC edged past Deportes Iquique 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caracas FC had 52% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 48%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.44 to 0.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Deportes Iquique?

Caracas FC 2-1 Deportes Iquique in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 51%, draw 28%, Deportes Iquique 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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