Union Espanola 4-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 24% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.53
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
10%
20.5
X/1
19%
3.85
X/2
8%
18.45
X/X
8%
7.71
2/1
8%
22.0
2/2
9%
15.85
2/X
5%
24.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
Crosses 10.1
Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
375 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2025 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
4-0
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2.39 xG 0.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
469 Passes 345
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola swept aside Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 57% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 43%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.39 to 0.17.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Union Espanola 4-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 57%, draw 22%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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