Dravinja 1-0 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dravinja EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.14/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.16
-25% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dravinja
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Krka
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Krka Krka 2-2 HT 0-2 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
15.03.2025 Dravinja Dravinja 0-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
01.09.2024 Krka Krka 0-3 HT 0-1 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
17.11.2023 Krka Krka 2-1 HT 1-0 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
25.10.2023 Dravinja Dravinja 3-0 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dravinja
1-0
AWAY Krka
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dravinja vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dravinja nicked a narrow win over Krka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dravinja as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dravinja had 42% of the ball to Krka's 58%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dravinja had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Dravinja and 0.80 for Krka.

What was the final score of Dravinja vs Krka?

Dravinja 1-0 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dravinja vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dravinja win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dravinja 46%, draw 26%, Krka 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dravinja), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dravinja) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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