Ilirija 0-2 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 30 Apr 2026

Ilirija
0-2 HT 0-2
Nafta
📅30/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2025/2026

Ilirija vs Nafta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
29%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.4pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ilirija v Nafta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 64%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -9%
1.06/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.97
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
224 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ilirija vs Nafta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nafta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.10.2025 Nafta Nafta 2-1 HT 2-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
18.11.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 2-1 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
09.11.2023 Nafta Nafta 2-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
02.03.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 2-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
19.08.2022 Nafta Nafta 3-0 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
18.04.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 1-0 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta got the better of Ilirija 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilirija and 1.33 for Nafta.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Nafta?

Ilirija 0-2 Nafta in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 19%, draw 25%, Nafta 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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