Bistrica 3-0 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
18%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
51%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -2%
2.04/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.12
+46% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bilje
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Bilje 0-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
03.05.2025 Bilje 0-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
19.10.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 1-1 Bilje SLVN2
28.10.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 4-3 HT 1-1 Bilje SLVN2
27.11.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 1-2 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
13.08.2022 Bilje 2-1 HT 2-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
3-0
AWAY Bilje
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica cruised past Bilje 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bistrica as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bistrica had 58% of the ball to Bilje's 42%, shots finished 23-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bilje led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bistrica and 1.33 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Bilje?

Bistrica 3-0 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 57%, draw 24%, Bilje 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ Under 2.5
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