Al Akhdoud 1-3 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 54%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.67/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.88
-35% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.4 Crosses 21.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.69 xG 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.01.2026 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
08.02.2025 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
28.08.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
17.05.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
02.12.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-3
AWAY Al Ettifaq
2.94 xG 2.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
283 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq got the better of Al Akhdoud 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ettifaq as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 50% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 50%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.94 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.20 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Akhdoud 1-3 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 28%, draw 25%, Al Ettifaq 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
30 Apr 2026
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