İtalya (K) 0-0 İsveç (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.9pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
Crosses 21.0
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY İsveç (K)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.10 xG 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
273 Passes 257
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2025 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) AVKUL
31.10.2023 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) AVKUL
26.09.2023 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) AVKUL
29.07.2023 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) KDK
09.10.2018 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) HAZ
25.07.2017 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya (K)
0-0
AWAY İsveç (K)
0.38 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
342 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İtalya (K) vs İsveç (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya (K) and İsveç (K) fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İtalya (K) had 54% of the ball to İsveç (K)'s 46%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.38 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İsveç (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İtalya (K) and 2.00 for İsveç (K).

What was the final score of İtalya (K) vs İsveç (K)?

İtalya (K) 0-0 İsveç (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya (K) vs İsveç (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İtalya (K) 36%, draw 23%, İsveç (K) 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (İsveç (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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