FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.1pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
2.76/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.49
+12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
424 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-1D-1L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.09.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
19.07.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
19.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
31.03.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
27.09.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn got the better of JK Tammeka Tartu 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 66% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 34%, shots finished 23-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.00 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 63%, draw 20%, JK Tammeka Tartu 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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