Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-3 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 37% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.1
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
15%
6.06
X/2
14%
5.37
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
17%
3.4
2/X
13%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+12.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-12.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.4pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.96/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.83
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
18.2 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-3
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.57 xG 3.97
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 8
192 Passes 297
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan squeezed past Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Beijing Guoan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 43% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 57%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.57 to 3.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Beijing Guoan's control.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-3 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 32%, draw 29%, Beijing Guoan 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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