Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
16%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.35
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
30%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.27
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.51
X/2
5%
8.59
X/X
13%
5.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.15
2/2
7%
6.04
2/X
4%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 7% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
53%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
16%
Away Win
24%
-7.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.77/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.28
-13% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +59%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.1 Crosses 14.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.75 xG 0.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
394 Passes 224
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
20.06.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-3 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
02.04.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-3 HT 0-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
24.09.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
17.08.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-0
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.85 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
321 Passes 376
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao nicked a narrow win over Shandong Taishan 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 47% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 53%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.85 to 1.27 — on chances, Shandong Taishan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.17 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 61%, draw 23%, Shandong Taishan 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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