Shenzhen FC 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.94
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
30.5
1/X
4%
12.6
X/1
17%
5.05
X/2
8%
6.76
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
8%
23.5
2/2
16%
4.61
2/X
10%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.73/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.37
+26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.3 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 0.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
222 Passes 323
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
28.09.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
19.07.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
06.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
01.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
22.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 2-2 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
3-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.52 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
248 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shenzhen FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 47% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 53%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.52 to 1.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shenzhen FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shenzhen FC and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shenzhen FC 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 41%, draw 24%, Qingdao Jonoon 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shenzhen FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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