Sorrento 1-2 Bayswater City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 70%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.94
+44% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +67%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bayswater City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Sorrento Sorrento 2-4 HT 0-3 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
14.03.2025 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-1 HT 0-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
10.06.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 5-2 HT 2-2 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
17.03.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-4 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
09.07.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 4-2 HT 2-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
16.04.2022 Sorrento Sorrento 1-2 HT 1-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
POST-MATCH Sorrento vs Bayswater City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City edged past Sorrento 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayswater City as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayswater City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sorrento and 2.50 for Bayswater City.

What was the final score of Sorrento vs Bayswater City?

Sorrento 1-2 Bayswater City in the Australia - NPL West on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento vs Bayswater City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayswater City win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sorrento 16%, draw 23%, Bayswater City 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayswater City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayswater City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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