Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.1pp
48%
Away Win
42%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.82/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.34
-8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +115%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2026 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-0 HT 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
07.04.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
29.10.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-1
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Ethiopian Insurance shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopian Insurance at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 32% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 68%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ethiopian Insurance led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Welwalo Adigrat Uni and 0.67 for Ethiopian Insurance.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 24%, draw 28%, Ethiopian Insurance 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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