Oakland County 5-0 South Bend Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
64%
-18.9pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland County EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY South Bend Lions EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland County
2W-0D-0L
AWAY South Bend Lions
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
11.06.2023 Oakland County Oakland County 2-1 HT 0-1 South Bend Lions South Bend Lions USL2
28.05.2023 South Bend Lions South Bend Lions 0-3 HT 0-3 Oakland County Oakland County USL2
POST-MATCH Oakland County vs South Bend Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland County cruised past South Bend Lions 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oakland County as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oakland County had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Oakland County and 0.50 for South Bend Lions.

What was the final score of Oakland County vs South Bend Lions?

Oakland County 5-0 South Bend Lions in the USA - USL League 2 on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland County vs South Bend Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oakland County 46%, draw 26%, South Bend Lions 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakland County), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oakland County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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