The Villages 3-1 Florida Elite — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Villages EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Florida Elite EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+47% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Villages
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Florida Elite
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.05.2024 Florida Elite Florida Elite 1-1 HT 1-1 The Villages The Villages USL2
POST-MATCH The Villages vs Florida Elite
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Villages saw off Florida Elite 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had The Villages as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of The Villages vs Florida Elite?

The Villages 3-1 Florida Elite in the USA - USL League 2 on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Villages vs Florida Elite?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Villages win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split The Villages 51%, draw 26%, Florida Elite 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Villages), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The Villages) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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