Tobacco Road 1-2 Carolina Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 30 Jun 2024

Tobacco Road
1-2
Carolina Dynamo
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Tobacco Road vs Carolina Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
64%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
28%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.7pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.1pp
64%
Away Win
66%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tobacco Road v Carolina Dynamo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Carolina Dynamo EU Bookmakers 71%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.11/3.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/0.30
+75% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tobacco Road vs Carolina Dynamo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Carolina Dynamo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
The Meetings
15.07.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 1-2 Carolina Dynamo Carolina Dynamo USL2
22.06.2023 Carolina Dynamo Carolina Dynamo 3-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
02.07.2022 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 1-5 HT 1-1 Carolina Dynamo Carolina Dynamo USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs Carolina Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carolina Dynamo edged past Tobacco Road 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carolina Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carolina Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tobacco Road and 3.33 for Carolina Dynamo.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs Carolina Dynamo?

Tobacco Road 1-2 Carolina Dynamo in the USA - USL League 2 on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs Carolina Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carolina Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 20%, draw 16%, Carolina Dynamo 64%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carolina Dynamo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carolina Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5
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