Grindavik 0-3 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grindavik EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.41/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.55
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
320 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grindavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Afturelding
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
10.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-2 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
01.06.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 0-3 HT 0-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
06.04.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-1 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZK
21.07.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 4-5 HT 2-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
06.05.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grindavik
0-3
AWAY Afturelding
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grindavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding swept aside Grindavik 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Afturelding as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Grindavik had 37% of the ball to Afturelding's 63%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grindavik and 1.83 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Grindavik vs Afturelding?

Grindavik 0-3 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grindavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Grindavik 28%, draw 24%, Afturelding 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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