Leiknir Reykjavik 3-1 Grotta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.6pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Grotta EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -26%
1.59/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.04
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Grotta
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
25.05.2024 Grotta Grotta 4-3 HT 1-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
11.08.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
02.06.2023 Grotta Grotta 5-1 HT 3-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
22.02.2015 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 4-2 HT 2-1 Grotta Grotta İZLK
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grotta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik beat Grotta 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Leiknir Reykjavik found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 3.00 for Grotta.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grotta?

Leiknir Reykjavik 3-1 Grotta in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grotta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 40%, draw 24%, Grotta 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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