KFG Gardabar 4-3 Throttur Vogar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
14%
3.8
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.2pp
14%
Draw
23%
-8.7pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Vogar EU Bookmakers 54%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.09/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.01
+33% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +52%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
267 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFG Gardabar
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Throttur Vogar
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
57% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2025 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 2-1 HT 0-1 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
31.07.2024 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 3-3 HT 0-2 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
23.05.2024 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 1-0 HT 0-0 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
16.09.2023 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 2-4 HT 2-2 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
06.07.2023 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 1-1 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
POST-MATCH KFG Gardabar vs Throttur Vogar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFG Gardabar edged past Throttur Vogar 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Throttur Vogar at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Throttur Vogar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for KFG Gardabar and 2.20 for Throttur Vogar.

What was the final score of KFG Gardabar vs Throttur Vogar?

KFG Gardabar 4-3 Throttur Vogar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFG Gardabar vs Throttur Vogar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Throttur Vogar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KFG Gardabar 33%, draw 14%, Throttur Vogar 53%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Throttur Vogar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Throttur Vogar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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