Weston Bears 2-1 Charlestown City Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
37%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-15.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
23%
+13.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.09/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.79
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +141%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
246 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston Bears
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlestown City Blues
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-1 HT 2-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
21.07.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 0-0 HT 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
07.04.2024 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-3 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
27.08.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-0 HT 1-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNSW
09.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-1 HT 1-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNSW
16.04.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-2 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
POST-MATCH Weston Bears vs Charlestown City Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears edged past Charlestown City Blues 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Weston Bears found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Weston Bears and 1.17 for Charlestown City Blues.

What was the final score of Weston Bears vs Charlestown City Blues?

Weston Bears 2-1 Charlestown City Blues in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston Bears vs Charlestown City Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Weston Bears 40%, draw 23%, Charlestown City Blues 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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