Gremio 2-1 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Jul 2025

Gremio
2 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Fortaleza
📅30/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Gremio vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.77
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.97
6+
4%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.64
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.43
X/2
8%
7.82
X/X
18%
4.37
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
11%
6.32
2/X
5%
14.9
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Gremio v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gremio The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza The Market 28%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.79 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3

Gremio vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fortaleza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
364 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Gremio Gremio 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
20.06.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
30.09.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-1 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
14.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
14.10.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
28.06.2021 Gremio Gremio 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1

Gremio 2-1 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
2 - 1
AWAY Fortaleza
2.50 xG 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
274 Passes 426
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Gremio vs Fortaleza
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gremio edged past Fortaleza 2-1.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

The match data tells the story: Gremio had 41% of the ball to Fortaleza's 59%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.50 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gremio and 0.67 for Fortaleza.

Gremio vs Fortaleza Result & Final Score

Gremio 2 - 1 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gremio vs Fortaleza Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gremio 51%, draw 29%, Fortaleza 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gremio) ✗ Under 2.5
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