Criciuma vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
BR2
Criciuma 1-0 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma squeezed past Cuiaba 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Criciuma had 44% of the ball to Cuiaba's 56%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.67 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Criciuma and 2.00 for Cuiaba.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
Criciuma 1-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 43%, draw 30%, Cuiaba 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.