Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 26% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.58/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.72
-3% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
17.2 Crosses 13.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Miami FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.75 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
05.05.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
17.09.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
25.03.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
10.07.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4-1 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
29.05.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-1
AWAY Miami FC
0.73 xG 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
283 Passes 404
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Miami FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 43% of the ball to Miami FC's 57%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.73 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.83 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 54%, draw 25%, Miami FC 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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