FK Karlskrona 5-1 Nosaby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
2.21/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.85
-3% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
395 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nosaby IF
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.06.2026 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 3-1 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
02.08.2025 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-1 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
11.05.2025 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-4 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
09.08.2024 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
14.04.2024 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
19.08.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 6-0 HT 2-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona cruised past Nosaby IF 5-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FK Karlskrona and 0.83 for Nosaby IF.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF?

FK Karlskrona 5-1 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 59%, draw 23%, Nosaby IF 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →