30/07/2026
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Austria Wien vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
19%
Draw
17%
16%
Away Win
11%
45%
Under 2.5
39%
55%
Over 2.5
61%
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
46%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austria Wien v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Austria Wien
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Liepaja
EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
2.54/1.02
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.87/2.58
-18%
/
-19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+18%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
17
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
486 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
233 · 73%
35.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0
24.9
Crosses
7.0
2.4
Yellow Cards
3.3
Austria Wien vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Austria Wien
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Liepaja
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
1.06
xG
1.10
10
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
6
356
Passes
340
31
Box Touches
31
14
Crosses
31
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
Austria Wien 3-1 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Austria Wien
3-1
AWAY
Liepaja
3.06
xG
0.55
17
Total Shots
10
10
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
3
434
Passes
191
31
Box Touches
12
21
Crosses
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
FAQ
Austria Wien vs Liepaja
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Austria Wien beat Liepaja 3-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-1.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.06 to 0.55.
What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Liepaja?
Austria Wien 3-1 Liepaja in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 65%, draw 19%, Liepaja 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Austria Wien)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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More UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jul 2026