Ilves Tampere 2-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.8pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 25%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+76% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stjarnan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2026 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
2-1
AWAY Stjarnan
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Ilves Tampere vs Stjarnan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ilves Tampere edged past Stjarnan 2-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 61% and both teams to score was favoured at 62%.

On the day, shots finished 20-15.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Stjarnan?

Ilves Tampere 2-1 Stjarnan in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 53%, draw 19%, Stjarnan 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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