Zalgiris Vilnius 7-2 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 24% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-65% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2026 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 HT 3-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
7-2
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Total Shots 14
13 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
FAQ Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Zalgiris Vilnius ran out comfortable winners over Dinamo Tbilisi 7-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Zalgiris Vilnius 7-2 Dinamo Tbilisi in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 46%, draw 25%, Dinamo Tbilisi 29%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5
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