Bragantino 1-0 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.5
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
20.5
X/1
20%
3.75
X/2
6%
18.1
X/X
7%
7.66
2/1
9%
21.4
2/2
5%
15.55
2/X
6%
23.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.1pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.1pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.40/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.66
+55% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 70%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
21.4 Crosses 21.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.83 xG 1.26
15 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
306 Passes 297
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2026 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-0
AWAY Sporting Cristal
2.16 xG 0.34
23 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
311 Passes 210
24 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino nicked a narrow win over Sporting Cristal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.16 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bragantino's control.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?

Bragantino 1-0 Sporting Cristal in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 68%, draw 18%, Sporting Cristal 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CSA More Copa Sudamericana
30 Jul 2026
01:00 Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellin Analysis →
03:30 Cienciano vs Lanus Analysis →