Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Vasco da Gama 1-0 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama squeezed past Independiente Medellin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.33 to 0.24.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellin?
Vasco da Gama 1-0 Independiente Medellin in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 57%, draw 22%, Independiente Medellin 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.