30/07/2026
·
03:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Cienciano vs Lanus Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51
— our 34% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
31%
Draw
29%
31%
Away Win
30%
60%
Under 2.5
58%
40%
Over 2.5
42%
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
52%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cienciano v Lanus — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cienciano
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lanus
EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+7%
1.52/0.88
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.09/1.04
-37%
/
+1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-24%
/
+21%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
314 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 75%
24.4
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.9
29.1
Crosses
10.3
2.3
Yellow Cards
3.9
Cienciano vs Lanus Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Cienciano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Lanus
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
0.12
xG
1.90
3
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Target
5
0
Corners
7
291
Passes
375
4
Box Touches
39
9
Crosses
22
2
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
Cienciano 4-0 Lanus — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Cienciano
4-0
AWAY
Lanus
1.70
xG
0.21
15
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
317
Passes
253
13
Box Touches
7
33
Crosses
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Cienciano vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cienciano cruised past Lanus 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cienciano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.70 to 0.21.
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Lanus?
Cienciano 4-0 Lanus in the Copa Sudamericana on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Lanus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 39%, draw 31%, Lanus 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cienciano)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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CSA
More Copa Sudamericana
30 Jul 2026