Dundalk 0-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.19
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.71
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.82
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
14%
7.69
X/2
13%
4.03
X/X
11%
3.6
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.76
2/X
9%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 51%
+16% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.74
+43% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.6 Crosses 12.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 0.85
56% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
356 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
03.05.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
29.03.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.10.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.08.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
21.04.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-1
AWAY Shelbourne
0.76 xG 0.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
188 Passes 248
58% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Dundalk 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Dundalk had 47% of the ball to Shelbourne's 53%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dundalk and 1.00 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Dundalk 0-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 28%, draw 26%, Shelbourne 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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