Etoile Carouge 3-1 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 37%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
2.19/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.13
+85% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
3.0 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
3-1
AWAY Wil 1900
1.74 xG 0.63
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
481 Passes 374
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge beat Wil 1900 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Etoile Carouge made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 55% of the ball to Wil 1900's 45%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.74 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Wil 1900?

Etoile Carouge 3-1 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 40%, draw 27%, Wil 1900 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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