Neuchatel Xamax 4-1 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.7pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.12/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.34
+41% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.9 Crosses 11.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vaduz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
350 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
04.02.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 5-3 HT 3-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
01.12.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
27.08.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
26.02.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-2 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
06.11.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
4-1
AWAY Vaduz
0.83 xG 0.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
241 Passes 569
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax cruised past Vaduz 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 34% of the ball to Vaduz's 66%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.83 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.67 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz?

Neuchatel Xamax 4-1 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 41%, draw 23%, Vaduz 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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