FC Schaffhausen 2-2 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 31% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.00/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.20
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
14.4 Crosses 20.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Thun
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.39 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 409
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Thun Thun 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
09.02.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
11.11.2023 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
28.07.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
27.05.2023 Thun Thun 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
05.03.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-5 HT 0-3 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2-2
AWAY Thun
0.48 xG 1.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
169 Passes 303
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen and Thun shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Thun at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 39% of the ball to Thun's 61%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.48 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 2.17 for Thun.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Thun?

FC Schaffhausen 2-2 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 27%, draw 26%, Thun 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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