TPS Turku 1-2 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
2.24/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.78
+2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
2W-3D-1L
AWAY PK-35 ry
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.06.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-2 HT 1-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
24.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
04.08.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-1 HT 2-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
06.06.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
07.08.2021 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
06.06.2021 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
1-2
AWAY PK-35 ry
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
18 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry nicked a narrow win over TPS Turku 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was TPS Turku at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, TPS Turku had 72% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 28%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for TPS Turku and 1.00 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs PK-35 ry?

TPS Turku 1-2 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 51%, draw 25%, PK-35 ry 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (TPS Turku), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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30 Aug 2024
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