JaPS 4-0 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 30 Aug 2024

JaPS
4-0 HT 2-0
Mikkeli
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.36
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.32/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.94
-19% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mikkeli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
19.05.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-3 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
09.03.2024 JaPS JaPS 4-1 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FINYK
14.07.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-2 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
06.05.2023 JaPS JaPS 1-3 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
03.09.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-0 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
4-0
AWAY Mikkeli
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JaPS vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS cruised past Mikkeli 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JaPS as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, JaPS had 49% of the ball to Mikkeli's 51%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JaPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for JaPS and 1.17 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of JaPS vs Mikkeli?

JaPS 4-0 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a JaPS win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split JaPS 45%, draw 24%, Mikkeli 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JaPS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JaPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
30 Aug 2024
18:30 TPS Turku vs PK-35 ry Analysis →