Sepahan 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.74
Over 2.5
57%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.96
No
41%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.1 — our 25% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+4.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
54%
-10.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
46%
+10.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.6pp
41%
BTTS No
53%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.15/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.27
+60% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.06.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 4-1 HT 3-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
01.01.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan squeezed past Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sepahan and 1.00 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Sepahan 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 59%, draw 21%, Shams Azar Qazvin 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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