MOL Fehervar 1-0 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Aug 2024

MOL Fehervar
1-0 HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
13%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MOL Fehervar v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.85/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.41
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
24.9 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
5W-1D-0L
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.71 xG 0.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
429 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.05.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 4-0 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.02.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-2 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
08.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.04.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
11.12.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
28.08.2021 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-1 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC

MOL Fehervar 1-0 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
1-0
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.22 xG 0.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
254 Passes 490
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar edged past MTK Budapest 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MOL Fehervar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 36% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 64%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.22 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for MOL Fehervar and 0.33 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest?

MOL Fehervar 1-0 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 45%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MOL Fehervar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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