Göteborg 1-0 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.95
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
29%
2.58
6+ Goals
10%
5.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
20%
4.14
X/2
5%
12.85
X/X
10%
7.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
18.2
2/2
6%
9.33
2/X
5%
17.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.2 — our 15% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
65%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.76/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.57
-4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
26.9 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
10.08.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
07.07.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
23.10.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 3-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
02.04.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
06.11.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-4 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-0
AWAY IFK Varnamo
2.00 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
27 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
386 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg nicked a narrow win over IFK Varnamo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Göteborg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Göteborg had 56% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 44%, shots finished 27-17, expected goals 2.00 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Göteborg and 1.17 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs IFK Varnamo?

Göteborg 1-0 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 62%, draw 22%, IFK Varnamo 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göteborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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