Union La Calera 1-2 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -8%
1.09/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.19
+28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.0 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Palestino
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
259 Passes 318
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
18.08.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
18.03.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.08.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-3 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
21.02.2023 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
30.07.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
1-2
AWAY Palestino
1.37 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
263 Passes 285
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino squeezed past Union La Calera 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union La Calera had 49% of the ball to Palestino's 51%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union La Calera and 1.33 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Palestino?

Union La Calera 1-2 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 31%, draw 27%, Palestino 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Under 2.5
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